Pizza Express, a casual dining chain, are facing growing
problems with their capital structure causing real concern for the company’s
future (The Financial Times, 2019a). Capital Structure is simply, ‘the mix of
securities and financing sources used by corporations to finance real
investment’ (Myers, 2001).The main research conducted into capital structure
focuses on the debate of debt vs equity and tries to establish the optimal
ratio between the two types of finance (if one even exists) (Myers, 2001). This
week’s blog will look at the case of Pizza Express as their current capital
structure is causing concerns for bondholders (The Financial Times, 2019a).
Also, this week’s blog will look at possible reasons why Pizza Express have
chosen the capital structure they currently have and compare this to relevant
theories of capital structure whilst also looking at possible solutions to
improve their current financial situation.
Pizza Express have undergone some difficult times in recent
years as high street stores and restaurants close at an alarming rate due to
the growing competition of online retailers and food delivery services (The
Financial Times, 2019a). The recent collapse of Thomas Cook leaves 563 empty
stores on the high street, demonstrating the decline of high street retailers
and restaurants (The Financial Times, 2019a). Pizza Express are owned by a
private equity firm, Hony Capital, and all their finance is raised through the
issue of bonds (a form of debt) (The Financial Times, 2019a). Pizza Express’
current net debt stands at an astonishing £1.1 billion (The Financial Times,
2019a).
Pizza
Express’ annual report 2018. Source: Pizza Express Annual Report and Financial
Statements 2018
To make matters worse, Pizza Express currently has a debt to
EBITDA (earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation) ratio of
14:1. This means Pizza express has 14 times more debt than EBITDA (The
Financial Times, 2019a). It is for this reason that Bondholders in Pizza
Express are urging the company to rethink their Capital Structure in order to
preserve the future of the business (The Financial Times, 2019a). If there are
safer and more sustainable capital structures for companies to adopt, then we
can ask, why have Pizza Express opted to rely solely on debt finance in their
capital structure?
One such answer to the question above is the argument that
debt is cheaper than equity and so using debt as a form of finance will reduce
a company’s WACC (Weighted Average Cost of Capital). In Modigliani and Miller’s
(1963) revised model of the cost of capital they argue that, due to the tax
shield companies receive when paying back debt, a company’s WACC can be reduced
by taking on more debt and less equity, making debt finance more attractive for
a company. This contradicts Modigliani and Miller’s (1958) original model which
stated there was no optimal ratio between debt/equity because the share price
would change to reflect the increase/decrease in a company’s gearing level and
so the cost of equity would increase if more debt was taken on and vice versa,
meaning there would be no change to the company’s WACC. If we apply Modigliani
and Miller’s (1963) revised model of the cost of capital to Pizza Express, then
Pizza Express should have gained an advantage by taking on more debt as this is
a cheaper form of finance. If this is the case, why are bondholders calling for
a debt restructuring? (The Financial Times, 2019a).
There is another theory of the cost of capital commonly
known as the trade-off theory (Stretcher & Johnson, 2011). Although this is
like the revised model from Modigliani and Miller (1963) with respect that
having more debt as opposed to equity will decrease a company’s WACC, it considers
the dangers of taking on too much debt (Stretcher & Johnson, 2011). The
trade-off model shows that as a company takes on a higher percentage of debt,
they become financially distressed due to the large interest payments the
company is obliged to pay back (Stretcher & Johnson, 2011).
Trade-Off Model - Firms Value
on the Y-axis and debt ratio on the X-axis. Source: Stretcher & Johnson,
2011.
This is where the negatives to debt finance come into play.
Companies are obligated to pay back loans, bonds and other forms of debt
finance in full and with interest whereas there is no obligation to pay
shareholders dividends, making equity less risky (Stretcher & Johnson,
2011). If we apply the trade-off model to Pizza Express, it becomes apparent
why the bondholders are calling for Pizza Express to change their Capital
Structure.
Pizza Express desperately need to find a way to reduce their
£1.1 billion net debt in order to become more financially stable (The Financial
Times, 2019a). One option for Pizza Express to try and reduce their debt is to
sell off some of their assets. This would be in the form of some of their 480
sites across the UK (The Financial Times, 2019a). However, this would be good
for the short term as it would generate revenue but negative for their
long-term value as they will lose out on further income through the sites they
sell. Although, with only 95% of their restaurants in the UK and Ireland
currently profitable there would be 24 non-profitable sites which could be sold
(The Financial Times, 2019b). However, this will most likely fall short in
reducing their debt to a reasonable level as there current £1.1 billion net
debt amounts to roughly £1.6 million per restaurant which, according to the
Financial Times (2019a), is much larger than the value of each restaurant
itself. Another option for Pizza Express
could be a debt-for-equity swap in which bondholders could exchange their loans
for shares in Pizza Express (The Financial Times, 2019c). Some bondholders have
even offered to put more money into Pizza Express if this were to be the
outcome of the capital restructuring (The Financial Times, 2019c). There isn’t
much of an option for Pizza Express to go public and try and raise money
through the sale of shares as calculations from The Financial Times (2019c)
estimates Pizza Express’ ‘£1.1bn in net debt easily exceeds estimates of its
equity value.’
As issuing shares isn’t really an option for Pizza Express,
the main options to consider are the sale of assets or a debt-for-equity swap.
Both would succeed in reducing the company’s eye-watering amount of debt
however both have opportunity costs to consider. The sale of assets would provide
short term monetary gain which could be used to reduce their debt. However,
this is at the expense of long-term value and income which could hinder Pizza
Express’ future success. The debt-for-equity swap would eliminate large
portions of the debt whilst also providing fresh investment for the company to
use to grow. However, this would be at the cost of control as the current
bondholders would become shareholders in the company and so a lot of control
would be lost. Personally, I think the best option is the debt-for-equity swap
as the sale of assets wouldn’t reduce the debt enough as the debt is just too
large. Also, the debt-for-equity swap would solve a large portion of the debt
problem whilst also providing Pizza Express with fresh investment. Unfortunately
for Pizza Express, this appears to be the only viable option at this moment in
time.
Reference List
Modigliani, F., & Miller,
M. H. (1958). The cost of capital, corporation finance and the theory of
investment. The American economic review, 261-297.
Modigliani, F., & Miller,
M. H. (1963). Corporate income taxes and the cost of capital: a correction. The
American economic review, 433-443.
Myers, S. (2001). Capital
Structure. Journal Of Economic Perspectives, 15(2),
81-102. doi: 10.1257/jep.15.2.81
Pizza Express. (2018). Annual
Report and Financial Statements 2018. Retrieved from https://corporate.pizzaexpress.com/~/media/Files/P/Pizza-Express/documents/2018-annual-report.pdf
Stretcher, R., & Johnson,
S. (2011). Capital structure: professional management guidance. Managerial
Finance, 37(8), 788-804.
The Financial Times. (2019a).
PizzaExpress bondholders press for debt restructuring | Financial Times.
Retrieved from https://www.ft.com/content/18ec966e-e91c-11e9-a240-3b065ef5fc55
The Financial Times. (2019b).
PizzaExpress’s Chinese owner to buy back chain’s debt | Financial Times.
Retrieved from https://www.ft.com/content/dda91e4e-007a-11ea-be59-e49b2a136b8d
The Financial Times. (2019c).
PizzaExpress bondholders escalate push for debt restructuring | Financial
Times. Retrieved from https://www.ft.com/content/28459880-0493-11ea-9afa-d9e2401fa7ca
A very interesting read Lewis! It was reported that Hony Capital, the private equity firm that owns Pizza Express, were willing to buy back £80m of the junior debt that Pizza Express currently hold in unsecured bonds.
ReplyDeleteYou've mentioned that Pizza Express would be best opting for a debt-for-equity swap, but do you think that Hony Capital would be willing to go for that option? Considering the amount of capital they're willing to invest to assist in the company, do you think they'd consider diluting their ownership in order to save the company?
Thanks for your comment Emily. I'm sure it is very reassuring for bondholders that Hony Capital are willing to buy back some of the junior debt. I don't think a debt-for-equity swap is something which Hony Capital will want to do but it is something they might have to do. If Hony Capital decided against a debt-for-equity swap and later the company goes bankrupt, they will lose their £900million investment into Pizza Express. However, if they opted for a debt-for-equity swap, they will only lose some of that investment due to their ownership being diluted. A debt-for-equity swap will also bring further investment as bondholders have publicly said they would be willing to invest more money if Hony Capital supported this option allowing the company to potentially grow.
DeleteI expect Hony Capital will exhaust every potential option before opting for a debt-for-equity swap. However, it can't be ruled out and it is definitely a safe option and better than going bankrupt!
A very well balanced response, I totally agree with your arguments noted above. It will be interesting to see how this plays out.
ReplyDelete